Aussie Weekly: RBA pivots dovish before shock fall in unemployment rate pares rate cut hopes

It was a wild week for Australian financial market participants. The much-awaited dovish pivot from the RBA Board arrived on Tuesday with both the statement and post-meeting press conference striking a more optimistic tone on inflation and the outlook for policy. But this renewed market optimism around the prospect of a February rate cut took a hit when the unemployment rate fell to 3.9% in data out on Thursday. In our final Aussie Weekly of the year, Senior Economist Stephen Wu and Economist Harry Ottley discuss the developments from last week and their implications, and briefly preview the light data flow out in the coming week.

 

------ DISCLAIMER ------ 

Important Information   

This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”).  

Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au.  

No Reliance  

Information in this podcast is of a general nature only. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs and does not constitute personal financial advice. This podcast provides general market-related information, and is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. The information contained in this podcast is solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Where ‘CBA Data’ is cited, this refers to the Bank proprietary data that is sourced from the Bank’s internal systems and may include, but not be limited to, home loan data, credit card transaction data, merchant facility transaction data and applications for credit. As analysis is based on Bank customer transactions, it may not reflect all trends in the market. All customer data used or represented in this podcast is anonymised before analysis and is used, and disclosed, in accordance with the Group Privacy Statement. The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct, and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations are reasonably held based on the information available at the time of its compilation but no representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made. 

Liability Disclaimer  

The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.